Palm oil dropped to the lowest level since December as the Malaysian stock market fell the most in more than three months before national elections on May 5

Among the four contenders for prime minister, PAS’ Abdul Hadi Awang is the clear outsider with by far the slimmest chance of taking the top position. KiniBiz, in the fourth of our series of articles on who would be prime minister, takes a deeper look at this man. Indications are that he is unlikely to be the ogre that he is made out to be in the media - far from it.

If Barisan Nasional wins this elections by a narrower margin Najib Abdul Razak will likely face a challenge to his leadership of Umno and the nation, from his deputy Muhyiddin Yassin. Muhyiddin’s issues date back to a famous land case in Johor where he was said to have been aligned to billionaire businessman Syed Mokhtar Albukhary. In politics his links with Malay extreme groups such as Perkasa and hardline position on the Malay language limits his appeal. But there are clear chances - better than even - that he would become prime minister eventually if BN wins by a small margin.

In the third of our series on who will be PM, we take a look at Anwar Ibrahim, going back to the time he was in Umno, his ascend to nearly the top, the fall and the comeback trail. His past conduct has not been particularly exemplary, but there is no denying he has the experience. Plus, his ever-wary coalition partners will help to make sure that he does not stray much from the straight and narrow.

In the first of our series on who will be prime minister we take a look at the odds for each candidate among Najib Abdul Razak, Anwar Ibrahim, Muhyiddin Yassin and Abdul Hadi Awang. The results may be surprising but you can get your own scenario by using our own probability calculator and plugging in your own figures.